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2024-12-14 09:03:00

This trend is very similar to that from July 11 to July 19 this year. The market has always maintained a broken upward trend. As long as it falls, there will be funds to support it!Then why is this trend happening? Many investors may think that yesterday's A shares opened higher and went lower under the favorable stimulus of the Politburo meeting, which is very similar to last year's 828 market and the trend on October 8 this year. But in your brother's view, these three false yin lines are just similar in shape, but the cores are not the same.Let's take a look at today's market. The full-day amplitude of the market is only 20 points, and it can't break through 3440 up. If it turns green down, it will be quickly pulled red. This narrow fluctuation of extremely low space is either the whole market is extremely inactive or controlled by a pair of invisible hands. This is almost the same as the trend during the Third Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee in mid-July this year!


According to the analysis of Jun Ge [A-share news] this morning, there were only seven stocks with a net purchase of more than 10 million in the main institutional seats yesterday, and three of them came from the same sector, that is, prepared dishes! Prefabricated dishes are a relatively flexible subdivision direction in the theme of big consumption. Under normal circumstances, the main institutions rarely switch positions to the theme of big consumption, because the growth of the theme of big consumption is generally not high, which belongs to a typical defensive theme. Yesterday, the main institutions suddenly increased their positions to prepare vegetables, which needs our great attention.Of course, today's trading data has not yet been released, and Jun Ge only guessed the organization's position adjustment behavior based on experience. Whether this is the case or not, the answer will be clear after the data of the dragon and tiger list of the exchange comes out.Going back to today's stop-fall market, I am afraid that the stability of the national team is only one aspect. The main institutions that stood by yesterday, most of today's buying will be released obviously. The retail investors who ran away yesterday, after seeing the market stabilize, are not expected to continue to lighten up their positions today.


In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.This trend is very similar to that from July 11 to July 19 this year. The market has always maintained a broken upward trend. As long as it falls, there will be funds to support it!What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.

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